Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.909988 3.429323 4.038859 4.813473 5.780790 6.961028 8.528814e+00
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.291843 2.981207 3.899127 5.240706 7.203810 10.059036 1.470017e+01
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.921360 2.654465 3.710532 5.401225 8.158307 12.710636 2.135858e+01
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.700973 2.465919 3.640566 5.670299 9.307048 16.044205 3.090861e+01
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.477369 2.220628 3.418815 5.616304 9.863265 18.524118 4.031896e+01
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.323307 2.053809 3.283815 5.665964 10.608817 21.673668 5.350968e+01
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.196266 1.908873 3.155289 5.689320 11.299658 25.011960 7.005478e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.122042 1.841523 3.149945 5.948130 12.587292 30.464115 9.894888e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.015924 1.701795 2.985191 5.835247 12.963011 33.669220 1.237174e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.939030 1.605199 2.887753 5.846703 13.659847 38.259656 1.614468e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.863339 1.501314 2.759722 5.760016 14.069011 42.198269 2.031771e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.817209 1.448703 2.728924 5.898327 15.177079 49.442981 2.816073e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.741363 1.337578 2.577143 5.755585 15.565462 55.013909 3.736521e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.719172 1.334106 2.664978 6.277243 18.447373 75.147802 7.133433e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.677929 1.284431 2.638099 6.479094 20.363209 93.579161 1.219541e+03
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.648666 1.255970 2.655397 6.816562 23.047276 121.523515 2.377475e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.601663 1.182220 2.549461 6.748762 24.034508 140.352489 3.855375e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.566149 1.129923 2.488836 6.811123 25.690272 168.710081 7.192088e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.532930 1.078882 2.423212 6.840463 27.251212 201.076570 1.415707e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.514550 1.060274 2.440381 7.166028 30.654065 265.184573 4.276411e+04
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.480594 1.000597 2.336429 7.023929 31.376474 300.358384 9.273196e+04
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.455266 0.959234 2.277602 7.038343 33.108334 359.319434 3.034426e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.428284 0.911053 2.192568 6.929313 34.021475 411.399956 1.099941e+06